Dynamics of COVID-19 in Africa
SACEMA has been involved in several initiatives related to modelling COVID-19 dynamics in South Africa and across the continent. For example, early in the pandemic, SACEMA’s Modelling and Analysis Response Team (SMART) partnered with researchers at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM) to develop forecasts of the timing of the first 1,000 and 10,000 cases in African countries in the absence of any intervention measures. This work was published in the journal Eurosurveillance.
In addition, SACEMA Director Prof. Juliet Pulliam is a core member of the South African COVID-19 Modelling Consortium’s (SACMC) modelling team and serves on the South Africa National Department of Health’s Ministerial Advisory Committee for COVID-19.