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Carl Pearson, PhD

Research Fellow

Research theme: Rapid Response to Emerging Threats

Carl is a Research Fellow at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, and a member of the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease (CMMID). He is a regular contributor to the efforts by the CMMID COVID-19 working group, and also works on Ebola, Dengue, and various other infectious diseases. He primary research approaches use high performance computing to simulate fundamental infectious disease processes and forecast disease and economic impacts of public health interventions. He is most interested in questions concerning operational public health decision-making

Recent publications

Gibbs, H., Y. Liu, C.A.B. Pearson, C.I. Jarvis, C. Grundy, B.J. Quilty, C. Diamond, LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, and R.M. Eggo (2020) Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature Communications 11(5012) doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18783-0


Rees, E.M., E.S. Nightingale, Y. Jafari, N. R. Waterlow, S Clifford, C. A. B. Pearson, T. Jombart, S. R. Procter & G. M. Knight (2020) COVID-19 length of hospital stay: a systematic review and data synthesis BMC Medicine 18(270) doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01726-3


Robin N. T., T. D. Hollingsworth, V. Isham, D. Arribas-Bel, B Ashby, T Britton, P. Challenor, L. H. K. Chappell, H. Clapham, N. J. Cunniffe, A. P. Dawid, C. A. Donnelly, R. M. Eggo, S Funk, N Gilbert, P. Glendinning, J. R. Gog, W. S. Hart, H. Heesterbeek, T House, M Keeling, I. Z. Kiss, M. E. Kretzschmar, A. L. Lloyd, E. S. McBryde, J. M. McCaw, T. J. McKinley, J. C. Miller, M. Morris, P. D. O’Neill, K. V. Parag, C. A. B. Pearson, L. Pellis, J. R. C. Pulliam, J. V. Ross, G. S. Tomba, B. W. Silverman, C. J. Struchiner, M. J. Tildesley, P. Trapman, C. R. Webb, D. Mollison, & O Restif (2020) Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 287(1932): 20201405 doi: 10.1098/rspb.2020.1405


Clifford, S., C.A.B. Pearson, , P. Klepac, K. Van Zandvoort, B. J. Quilty, R. M. Eggo, & S. Flasche (2020) Effectiveness of interventions targeting air travellers for delaying local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2. Journal of Travel Medicine 27(5): 1-8 doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa068


Pearson, C. A. B., C. van Schalkwyk , A.M. Foss , K.M. O'Reilly, SACEMA's Modelling and Analysis Response Team, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, and J.R.C. Pulliam (2020) Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020. Eurosurveillance 25(18) 2000543 doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543


Jombart, T., K. van Zandvoort, T. W. Russell , C. I. Jarvis, A. Gimma, S. Abbott, S. Clifford, S. Funk, H. Gibbs, Y. Liu, C. A. B. Pearson, N. I. Bosse, R.M. Eggo, Adam J.Kucharski, & W. J. Edmunds (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome Open Research 5:78 doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1


Hladish, T.J., C.A.B. Pearson, K.B. Toh, D.P. Rojas, P. Manrique-Saide, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, M.E. Halloran, & I.M. Longini (2020) Designing effective control of dengue withcombined interventions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117(6) 3319-3325 doi:10.1073/pnas.1903496117


Pearson, C.A.B., K. M. Abbas, S. Clifford, S. Flasche & T. J. Hladish (2019) Serostatus testing and dengue vaccine cost-benefit thresholds. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 16:20190234 doi: 10.1098/rsif.2019.0234


Vallej, C., C.A.B. Pearson, J. Koopman, & T.J. Hladish (2019) Evaluating the probability of silent circulation of polio in small populations using the silent circulation statistic. Infectious Disease Modelling 4:239-250 doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2019.06.003


DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis