Carl Pearson, PhD

Research Fellow

Research theme: Rapid Response to Emerging Threats

Carl is a Research Fellow at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, and a member of the Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Disease (CMMID). He is a regular contributor to the efforts by the CMMID COVID-19 working group, and also works on Ebola, Dengue, and various other infectious diseases. He primary research approaches use high performance computing to simulate fundamental infectious disease processes and forecast disease and economic impacts of public health interventions. He is most interested in questions concerning operational public health decision-making

Recent publications

Pearson CAB, Silal S, Li MWZ, Dushoff J, Bolker BM, Abbott S, van Schalkwyk C, Davies, NG, Barnard RC, Edmunds WJ, Bingham JL, Meyer-Rath G, Glass A, Wolter N, Govender N, Stevens W, Scott L, Mlisana K, Moultrie H, Pulliam JRC, (2021) Bounding the levels of transmissibility & immune evasion of the Omicron variant in South Africa doi.org/10.1101/2021.12.19.21268038

Pearson CAB, Bozzani F, Procter SR, Davies NG, HudaI M, Jensen HT, Keogh-Brown M, Khalid M, Sweeney S, Torres-Rueda S, CHiL COVID-19 Working Group, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Eggo RM, Vassall A, Jit M (2021) COVID-19 vaccination in Sindh Province, Pakistan: A modelling study of health impact and cost-effectiveness PLOS Medicine doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1003815

Pearson CAB, Pulliam JCR, Eggo RM (2021) Pre-vaccination testing could expand coverage of two-dose COVID vaccines Wellcome Open Research doi.org/10.12688/wellcomeopenres.16835.1

Gibbs, H., Y. Liu, C.A.B. Pearson, C.I. Jarvis, C. Grundy, B.J. Quilty, C. Diamond, LSHTM CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, and R.M. Eggo (2020) Changing travel patterns in China during the early stages of the COVID-19 pandemic. Nature Communications 11(5012) doi: 10.1038/s41467-020-18783-0

Rees, E.M., E.S. Nightingale, Y. Jafari, N. R. Waterlow, S Clifford, C. A. B. Pearson, T. Jombart, S. R. Procter & G. M. Knight (2020) COVID-19 length of hospital stay: a systematic review and data synthesis BMC Medicine 18(270) doi: 10.1186/s12916-020-01726-3

Robin N. T., T. D. Hollingsworth, V. Isham, D. Arribas-Bel, B Ashby, T Britton, P. Challenor, L. H. K. Chappell, H. Clapham, N. J. Cunniffe, A. P. Dawid, C. A. Donnelly, R. M. Eggo, S Funk, N Gilbert, P. Glendinning, J. R. Gog, W. S. Hart, H. Heesterbeek, T House, M Keeling, I. Z. Kiss, M. E. Kretzschmar, A. L. Lloyd, E. S. McBryde, J. M. McCaw, T. J. McKinley, J. C. Miller, M. Morris, P. D. O’Neill, K. V. Parag, C. A. B. Pearson, L. Pellis, J. R. C. Pulliam, J. V. Ross, G. S. Tomba, B. W. Silverman, C. J. Struchiner, M. J. Tildesley, P. Trapman, C. R. Webb, D. Mollison, & O Restif (2020) Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 287(1932): 20201405 doi: 10.1098/rspb.2020.1405

Clifford, S., C.A.B. Pearson, , P. Klepac, K. Van Zandvoort, B. J. Quilty, R. M. Eggo, & S. Flasche (2020) Effectiveness of interventions targeting air travellers for delaying local outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2. Journal of Travel Medicine 27(5): 1-8 doi: 10.1093/jtm/taaa068

Pearson, C. A. B., C. van Schalkwyk , A.M. Foss , K.M. O'Reilly, SACEMA's Modelling and Analysis Response Team, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, and J.R.C. Pulliam (2020) Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020. Eurosurveillance 25(18) 2000543 doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543

Jombart, T., K. van Zandvoort, T. W. Russell , C. I. Jarvis, A. Gimma, S. Abbott, S. Clifford, S. Funk, H. Gibbs, Y. Liu, C. A. B. Pearson, N. I. Bosse, R.M. Eggo, Adam J.Kucharski, & W. J. Edmunds (2020) Inferring the number of COVID-19 cases from recently reported deaths. Wellcome Open Research 5:78 doi: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.15786.1

Hladish, T.J., C.A.B. Pearson, K.B. Toh, D.P. Rojas, P. Manrique-Saide, G.M. Vazquez-Prokopec, M.E. Halloran, & I.M. Longini (2020) Designing effective control of dengue withcombined interventions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 117(6) 3319-3325 doi:10.1073/pnas.1903496117

Pearson, C.A.B., K. M. Abbas, S. Clifford, S. Flasche & T. J. Hladish (2019) Serostatus testing and dengue vaccine cost-benefit thresholds. Journal of the Royal Society Interface 16:20190234 doi: 10.1098/rsif.2019.0234

Vallej, C., C.A.B. Pearson, J. Koopman, & T.J. Hladish (2019) Evaluating the probability of silent circulation of polio in small populations using the silent circulation statistic. Infectious Disease Modelling 4:239-250 doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2019.06.003

DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis