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elishaare@sun.ac.za

Elisha Are, PhD

Research Associate

Research Associate

Recent publications

Azam JM, Pang X, Are EA, Pulliam JRC, Ferrari MJ (2022) Models and modelling practices for assessing the impact of outbreak response interventions to human vaccine-preventable diseases (1970-2019) - A systematic review doi.org/10.1101/2022.05.27.22275642 Medrxiv Preprint


Are EB, Hargrove JW, Dushoff J (2021) Does Counting Different Life Stages Impact Estimates for Extinction Probabilities for Tsetse (Glossina spp)? Bulletin of Mathematical Biology doi.org/10.1007/s11538-021-00924-1


Are EB, Colijn C (2021) Projected spread of COVID-19's second wave in South Africa 2 under different levels of lockdown doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.22.21250308


Azam, J.M., E.B. Are, X. Pang, M.J. Ferrari, & J.R.C. Pulliam (2020) Outbreak response intervention models of vaccine-preventable diseases in humans and foot-and-mouth disease in livestock: a protocol for a systematic review. BMJ Open 10(10) doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-036172


Adetokunboh, O.O., & E.B. Are (2020) Distribution and Determinants of HIV Prevalence in South Africa. Annals of Epidemiology. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.08.061


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2020) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of extinction probabilities suggest that adult female mortality is the weakest link for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp) PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007854 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007854


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2020) Extinction probabilities as a function of temperature for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp.) PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007769 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007769


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2019) Extinction probabilities as a function of temperature for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp.) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007769. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007769


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2019) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of extinction probabilities suggest that adult female mortality is the weakest link for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007854. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007854


Kajunguri, D., E.B. Are, & J.W. Hargrove (2019) Improved estimates for extinction probabilities and times to extinction.for populations of tsetse. (Glossina spp ) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 13(4): e0006973 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006973


Azam JM, Pang X, Are EB, Pulliam JRC, Ferrari MJ () Models and modelling practices for assessing the impact of outbreak response interventions to human vaccine-preventable diseases (1970-2019) - A systematic review doi.org/10.1101/2022.05.27.22275642 Medrxiv Preprint


DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis