Elisha Are, PhD

Research Associate

Research Associate

Recent publications

Azam, J.M., E.B. Are, X. Pang, M.J. Ferrari, & J.R.C. Pulliam (2020) Outbreak response intervention models of vaccine-preventable diseases in humans and foot-and-mouth disease in livestock: a protocol for a systematic review. BMJ journals 10(10) doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-036172

Adetokunboh, O.O., & E.B. Are (2020) Distribution and Determinants of HIV Prevalence in South Africa. Annals of Epidemiology. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.08.061

Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2020) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of extinction probabilities suggest that adult female mortality is the weakest link for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp) PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007854 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007854

Pearson, C. A. B., C. van Schalkwyk , A.M. Foss , K.M. O'Reilly , R. Beauclair , E.B. Are , O.O. Adetokunboh, J. Bingham, C.M. Hazelbag, I. Kombe, B.J. Sempa, & J.R.C. Pulliam, E.S. Nightingale, S. Funk, R.M. Eggo , J. Hellewell, A.J. Kucharski, Q.J. Leclerc , N.G. Davies, J.C. Emery, S. Flasche, N.I. Bosse , S. Abbott, M. Auzenbergs, A. Gimma, S.R. Procter, R.M.G.J. Houben , T.W. Russell, A. Endo, C. Diamond, J.D. Munday, G. Knight, F.Y. Sun, Y. Liu, A.K. Deol, T. Jombart , B.J. Quilty, S. Clifford , P. Klepac , K. van Zandvoort, K. Prem, A. Rosello, G. Medley, M. Jit, C.I. Jarvis, H. Gibbs, & W.J. Edmunds (2020) Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020. Eurosurveillance 25(18) 2000543 doi: 10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.18.2000543

Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2020) Extinction probabilities as a function of temperature for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp.) PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007769 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007769

Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2019) The weakest link: uncertainty and sensitivity analysis of extinction probability estimates for tsetse (Glossina spp) populations. BioRxiv 810564 doi: 10.1101/810564

Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2019) Extinction probabilities, times to extinction, basicreproduction number and growth rates for tsetse(Glossina spp) populations as a function oftemperature. BioRxiv :767350 doi: 10.1101/767350

Kajunguri, D., E.B. Are, & J.W. Hargrove (2019) Improved estimates for extinction probabilities and times to extinction.for populations of tsetse. (Glossina spp ) PLoS neglected tropical diseases 13(4): e0006973 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006973

DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis