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elishaare@sun.ac.za

Elisha Are, PhD

Research Associate

Research Associate

Recent publications

Are EB, Hargrove JW, Dushoff J (2021) Does Counting Different Life Stages Impact Estimates for Extinction Probabilities for Tsetse (Glossina spp)? doi.org/10.1007/s11538-021-00924-1


Are EB, Colijn C (2021) Projected spread of COVID-19's second wave in South Africa 2 under different levels of lockdown doi.org/10.1101/2021.01.22.21250308


Azam, J.M., E.B. Are, X. Pang, M.J. Ferrari, & J.R.C. Pulliam (2020) Outbreak response intervention models of vaccine-preventable diseases in humans and foot-and-mouth disease in livestock: a protocol for a systematic review. BMJ Open 10(10) doi:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-036172


Adetokunboh, O.O., & E.B. Are (2020) Distribution and Determinants of HIV Prevalence in South Africa. Annals of Epidemiology. doi: 10.1016/j.annepidem.2020.08.061


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2020) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of extinction probabilities suggest that adult female mortality is the weakest link for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp) PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007854 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007854


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2020) Extinction probabilities as a function of temperature for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp.) PLOS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007769 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007769


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2019) Extinction probabilities as a function of temperature for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp.) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007769. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007769


Are, E.B, & J. Hargrove (2019) Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of extinction probabilities suggest that adult female mortality is the weakest link for populations of tsetse (Glossina spp) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 14(5): e0007854. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0007854


Kajunguri, D., E.B. Are, & J.W. Hargrove (2019) Improved estimates for extinction probabilities and times to extinction.for populations of tsetse. (Glossina spp ) PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases 13(4): e0006973 doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0006973


DSI-NRF Centre of Excellence in Epidemiological Modelling and Analysis